Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 3.183760 3.366649 3.561149 3.784561 4.035592 4.310751 4.637698
2025-08-24 2.859874 3.097351 3.361875 3.681971 4.063953 4.512192 5.089197
2025-08-31 2.664975 2.941405 3.261055 3.665219 4.173913 4.810214 5.697936
2025-09-07 2.469687 2.762976 3.111461 3.566858 4.164418 4.952153 6.131454
2025-09-14 2.308572 2.610245 2.976500 3.468147 4.136272 5.058475 6.532481
2025-09-21 2.173488 2.478488 2.855302 3.372487 4.096559 5.137312 6.905084
2025-09-28 2.106954 2.426614 2.829765 3.398122 4.223749 5.474032 7.781719
2025-10-05 2.107113 2.458043 2.912677 3.577015 4.592779 6.252956 9.752299
2025-10-12 2.052919 2.414324 2.890662 3.603323 4.731662 6.679767 11.241466
2025-10-19 2.000551 2.369415 2.862996 3.617211 4.850290 7.094395 12.962326
2025-10-26 1.978370 2.363254 2.887872 3.710862 5.112937 7.852412 16.313448
2025-11-02 1.929650 2.317853 2.853414 3.708391 5.206572 8.287093 19.181405
2025-11-09 1.827318 2.200881 2.719308 3.554152 5.038016 8.171343 20.140101
2025-11-16 1.748261 2.113652 2.624977 3.458578 4.970847 8.291983 22.645804
2025-11-23 1.696235 2.062135 2.580471 3.441123 5.051747 8.815539 29.202201
2025-11-30 1.629827 1.987314 2.497095 3.352074 4.980082 8.924239 33.840196
2025-12-07 1.568392 1.917163 2.417278 3.263169 4.897929 8.985878 39.102695
2025-12-14 1.512008 1.852157 2.342221 3.177161 4.811682 9.015932 45.224540
2025-12-21 1.485765 1.829495 2.330531 3.199777 4.958044 9.830879 82.976839
2025-12-28 1.492020 1.854105 2.392958 3.359097 5.437710 12.158887 NaN
2026-01-04 1.468011 1.832794 2.381477 3.382358 5.609299 13.510848 NaN
2026-01-11 1.443274 1.809303 2.365059 3.394618 5.757150 14.947128 NaN
2026-01-18 1.433763 1.808205 2.384685 3.477656 6.108411 18.088512 NaN